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Two of the World's Toughest Lockdowns Ease—Just a Little

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The state government’s tough coronavirus restrictions have slashed Melbourne’s infection rate, but they have also crippled a city routinely ranked among the world’s most livable.

Photo: Chris Putnam/Zuma Press

MELBOURNE, Australia—Israel and an Australian state said they would slowly begin to ease some of the most stringent lockdowns in the world, but the terms highlight the deep global divide over the need for lockdowns to combat the Covid-19 pandemic.

The Australian state of Victoria, which includes Melbourne, said on Sunday that it would ease some of its harshest restrictions, such as forbidding people from leaving their homes for all but a handful of reasons and keeping offices and retail outlets mostly shut, after daily infections fell to just two from a peak of more than 700.

Israel said it would also begin to ease deeply unpopular restrictions there after reducing new daily cases to less than 1,500 from more than 8,000.

Starting Monday, Melbourne’s five million residents will be able to travel up to 15 miles from home, and a two-hour time limit for exercising outdoors will be scrapped. By Nov. 1, retail and hospitality outlets including restaurants, cafes and hair salons will be able to reopen at restricted capacity.

Beginning Sunday, Israelis will be allowed to travel more than one kilometer from their homes and small gatherings will be allowed, capped at 10 inside and 20 outside. Preschools and day-care centers will reopen, restaurants will be allowed to serve takeout, businesses that don’t receive customers can reopen and people will be allowed to visit beaches and parks.

The lockdowns, however, will remain tighter than those prevailing almost anywhere else in the world, underscoring the divergent approaches that countries continue to take in combating the virus.

Leaders in the U.S. and Europe have largely resisted a return to broad lockdowns like those imposed in the spring, favoring more targeted measures in an effort to avoid economic damage and social dislocations. France has taken some of the most severe measures amid a resurgence of the virus in Europe, saying last week that it would declare a state of emergency and impose a curfew.

Melbourne has endured more than 100 days under one of the most stringent lockdowns in the world, and many small-business owners are already at a breaking point.

Victoria’s state premier, Daniel Andrews, said the Nov. 1 target date could be brought forward if infection rates, measured by a rolling 14-day average of daily cases, decline faster than expected. But he didn’t provide an update for industries such as construction, manufacturing and meat processing, many of which have been operating under capacity restrictions.

“These lockdowns have come with pain and damage and hurt, but the strategy is working,” Mr. Andrews said during a televised news briefing Sunday. “What it means is that as other parts of the world are going into a deadly winter, with lockdowns and restrictions that are heartbreaking,” Victoria can now “build a Covid-normal 2021,” he said.

Mr. Andrews invited direct comparison with the U.K., which had similar numbers of infections back in August when daily cases in Victoria peaked at 725.

“Today, as Victoria records two new cases, the U.K. hit 16,171,” he said. “And as we continue easing our restrictions, they are being forced to increase theirs.”

Israel became the first developed country to impose a second nationwide lockdown amid rising Covid-19 cases. As businesses are forced to close ahead of major Jewish festivals, WSJ’s Dov Lieber meets restaurant owners who worry they may never reopen. Photo: Amir Cohen/Reuters

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who has faced growing protests over the lockdown, said Israel will reopen gradually to avoid the resurgence of the virus that the country saw after lifting its previous lockdown more quickly.

Israel’s coronavirus czar, Ronni Gamzu, said that the country faces a tough battle to keep the virus under control. He said Israel needs to see cases drop below 1,000 a day and meet other epidemiological milestones before the country can proceed to the next stage of the health ministry’s gradual several month exit plan. In the next phases, more children will return to school and gyms, and beauty salons and restaurants will reopen.

Melbourne’s restrictions came into effect after a breach in hotel quarantine protocols this summer sparked a second wave of infections when the rest of Australia was practically virus-free. Officials initially tried a more targeted series of block-by-block restrictions, but imposed the hard lockdown when they failed to contain the spread.

As a result of the outbreak, Victoria now accounts for 816 of Australia’s 904 deaths and nearly three-quarters of its total cases, according to official statistics.

The tough restrictions have slashed Melbourne’s infection rate, but they have also crippled a city routinely ranked among the world’s most livable. Business groups and political opponents have criticized the state’s response as unnecessarily onerous with a disproportionate impact on the economy and social well-being.

“There is no sound reason to continue the restrictions on business, especially with case numbers clearly on a downward trajectory,” said Jennifer Westacott, chief executive of the Business Council of Australia. “Simply being allowed to go for a haircut or outside a bit more when you have no job, no money and your business has failed is just not good enough.”

With Victoria accounting for about a quarter of Australia’s gross domestic product, the restrictions have dragged on the entire country’s economy, which is in recession for the first time in almost 30 years.

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As a result of the lockdown, the Australian rules football grand final—the local equivalent to the Super Bowl—will be played outside Melbourne for the first time.

Photo: michael dodge/EPA/Shutterstock

And the Australian rules football grand final, the local equivalent to the Super Bowl, will be played next week outside Melbourne for the first time in its 123-year history.

The lengthy restrictions have led to public frustration and fatigue, contributing to small and sporadic public protests and legal challenges from small-business owners over the validity of the lockdown.

Health experts and medical associations have broadly supported the Victorian government’s pandemic-control measures, but have highlighted the need to mitigate the serious mental-health implications triggered by the prolonged lockdown, and the associated job losses and social disconnection, especially among the youth and disadvantaged groups.

Greg Hunt, the health minister in Australia’s conservative national government, said federal data showed a 31% increase in Victorians requiring mental-health support over the past two months, compared with a 15% increase nationally. The number of calls to mental-health support service Beyond Blue was 90% higher in Victoria than the rest of the country in August.

“The second wave, which led to the lockdown, has taken an extreme toll on the mental health of Victorians and their economic prospects,” said Josh Frydenberg, Australia’s treasurer.

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Mr. Andrews, who leads a center-left state Labor government, has insisted that tough measures are necessary to stave off a potentially worse third wave of infections that would risk overrunning hospitals and forcing an even longer shutdown.

He has said the infection-rate targets were based on supercomputer scenario modeling and in extensive consultation with public-health experts, and constantly weighed against the economic and social pain. Many of the restrictions are likely to remain in place for at least several more weeks.

“These are not easy decisions to make, there is a lot at stake,” Mr. Andrews said Sunday. “And if we do too much, too fast, then we’ll be where none of us ever want to be again—doing this again, back where we were.”

Write to Philip Wen at philip.wen@wsj.com and Felicia Schwartz at Felicia.Schwartz@wsj.com

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